Canadian Wildlife, July/August 2010
By Sharon Oosthoek
Assessing the impact of climate change on wildlife is tricky business. Any given year may be warmer or wetter than usual and still have nothing to do with climate change. That’s called weather.
Gambo, Newfoundland trapper Clarence Pritchett knows all about that. In his 35 years of trapping, he’s seen animals that have suffered through bad winters, and he’s seen the opposite.
This past winter was unusually temperate and animals such as otters and mink are now plump and healthy. “It’s not a pattern though,” says Pritchett. “We have good winters and bad winters. It changes drastically with the North Atlantic.”
But climate change is about patterns. Not seasonal or even yearly fluctuations, but long-term changes in temperature, precipitation, wind, and even ocean currents.
So a decade or more of unusually warm temperatures or lots of snow may signal climate change.
“In order to make that link, you have to have a long enough time series,” says Gary Stern, senior research scientist at the Department of Fisheries and Oceans in Winnipeg. “I would say 10-15 years of data on an annual basis … You have to monitor the biota (plants and animals) but you also have to the monitor the system that’s changing and try to link the two together, which is a difficult thing.”
Paul Wilson, a wildlife geneticists with Ontario’s Trent University, agrees that long-term patterns are key, and urges meticulous research to set baselines for comparison.
“I think we as scientists have to be careful we’re not jumping on the climate change bandwagon and trying to attribute everything we see to climate change,” says Wilson.
Other human-induced changes – fragmentation, pollution and introduced species – also make it hard to separate out what can and can’t be chalked up to climate change.
That’s why Jody Allair, a biologist with Bird Studies Canada, counsels caution.
‘Our scientists are finding it difficult to tease apart the variety of factors contributing to (bird) range shifts or to decipher an overall pattern,” says Allair.
Southern Yukon Tlingit elder Stanley James has also seen wildlife shifting ranges in the past few years, and like Allair, can’t say with certainty what is behind it.
“We’ve had polar bears coming down this way now, on the Dempster Highway. We have cougars coming in from the south. And then we’ve had muskox,” says James. All are unusual sightings near his home in Carcross.
“The animals know there is a change that is happening,” he says. “We used to have four feet of snow when I was on the trap line 60 years ago. Now you only have about 17 or 18 inches of snow.”
With these caveats in mind, we offer here a sampling of intriguing, and often troubling changes in the lives of Canada’s wild animals.